The Science of Sports Markets

Aeon Sports Fund's strategies are rooted in capitalizing on sports market inefficiencies through rigorous data analysis and deep domain expertise to deliver superior risk-adjusted returns.

Our Primary Strategies

We employ a multi-faceted approach to capitalize on different types of market inefficiencies.

Arbitrage

Capitalizing on price discrepancies across the market for the same event to secure a positive return regardless of the outcome.

Hedging

Placing strategic wagers on outcomes contrary to an existing bet to lock in profits or mitigate losses as game dynamics and market odds change.

Value Investing

Identifying and capitalizing on wagers where the probability of an outcome is greater than the odds offered by the market, providing long-term positive expected value.

Data-Driven Edge & Risk Control

Our selection process is driven by deep analysis and fortified by stringent risk management protocols.

Data-Driven Insights

Our deep analysis of historical data, player stats, market sentiment, and line & position movements is used to build a fundamental view of an event and identify value bets.

Risk Management Framework

Strict position sizing rules, diversification across sports and strategies, and disciplined bankroll management to protect capital.

Execution & Access

Our execution process is backed by a significant multi-year history and established VIP status with premier sportsbooks. This provides critical access and execution advantages, including better pricing and higher acceptance rates.

Our Focus Markets

We concentrate our expertise on major global sports leagues where market data is abundant and inefficiencies can be systematically identified.

Image of Basketball

Basketball

NBA
NCAAM
WNBA
Image of Football

Football

NFL
NCAAF
Image of Baseball

Baseball

MLB
Image of Soccer

Soccer

Premier League
La Liga
Serie A
Image of Tennis

Tennis

ATP Tour
WTA Tour

Real-World Case Studies

These examples from our records demonstrate core concepts in our strategies.

FOOTBALL

OHIO STATE VS. WISCONSIN

Arbitrage / Middle

$21,299.60 TOTAL WAGER

RETURN +$19,497.95

Narrative

This case study showcases the successful execution of an arbitrage and "middling" strategy, capitalizing on line movements across the same sportsbook. By securing positions on both sides of the spread—Ohio State -7.5 and Wisconsin +14.5—we created a window where both bets could win.

With a final score of Ohio State 24, Wisconsin 10, the 14-point margin of victory fell perfectly within our "middle," resulting in all three wagers winning and generating a significant, risk-mitigated profit.

Ohio State -7.5

SPREAD

-108

TOTAL WAGER

$7,999.60

WON

$15,406.64

RETURNED ON FANDUEL

Wisconsin +14.5

SPREAD

-110

TOTAL WAGER

$12,000.00

WON

$22,909.09

RETURNED ON FANDUEL

Wisconsin +14.5

SPREAD

-110

TOTAL WAGER

$1,300.00

WON

$2,481.82

RETURNED ON FANDUEL